Over or under?

This is the household argument that people are most confident has an obvious answer, and it is the one where the confidence is least earned: almost everyone has a position, almost nobody has ever seen the numbers, and the position is usually inherited from whoever hung the roll when they were a child. There is no correctness to establish here. There is only what people do.

The reference comes from a YouGov poll of 27,810 US adults — by a wide margin the largest published sample behind anything on this site, and about twenty-five times the panel behind the food questions. Respondents with no preference are not carried into the distribution. A sample that size pins its own figure tightly; it still says nothing about anywhere outside the United States.